Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.386644 0.504943 0.633971 0.783124 0.948959 1.126093 1.328089
2025-05-04 0.250591 0.413054 0.609115 0.853302 1.141139 1.463015 1.844175
2025-05-11 0.178686 0.357964 0.591697 0.897642 1.271249 1.699935 2.217824
2025-05-18 0.116762 0.297344 0.554089 0.907243 1.352834 1.875812 2.518374
2025-05-25 0.058738 0.219516 0.477675 0.854889 1.348660 1.942343 2.684570
2025-06-01 0.022270 0.155383 0.406391 0.798421 1.330957 1.986174 2.818555
2025-06-08 0.006444 0.116543 0.364279 0.775020 1.350241 2.070874 2.997560
2025-06-15 0.001401 0.098232 0.352317 0.792142 1.420873 2.217843 3.250646
2025-06-22 NaN 0.075139 0.325435 0.783292 1.454147 2.316207 3.443271
2025-06-29 NaN 0.053163 0.293435 0.762377 1.468168 2.388224 3.602091
2025-07-06 NaN 0.048720 0.299416 0.801927 1.566177 2.567870 3.893935
2025-07-13 NaN 0.045769 0.308205 0.845815 1.670228 2.755379 4.195717
2025-07-20 NaN 0.042951 0.318535 0.895678 1.787970 2.967356 4.536787
2025-07-27 NaN 0.045686 0.344956 0.974219 1.948510 3.237228 4.952926
2025-08-03 NaN 0.042334 0.353080 1.020779 2.062642 3.446129 5.292397
2025-08-10 NaN 0.033212 0.341088 1.031316 2.124241 3.586100 5.545568
2025-08-17 NaN 0.016882 0.293976 0.975180 2.086056 3.593110 5.630324
2025-08-24 NaN 0.005909 0.247970 0.914610 2.037449 3.583635 5.692092
2025-08-31 NaN 0.001746 0.222523 0.889454 2.039564 3.640002 5.835649
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000758 0.219027 0.907859 2.108136 3.785960 6.093708
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000008 0.202941 0.898348 2.132587 3.871523 6.273975
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.182060 0.875857 2.135359 3.926675 6.414516
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.190236 0.918372 2.241436 4.123866 6.738799